一帶一路 | 走進香港之香港經濟最新發展 Latest Developments

由 | 9月 10, 2015 | 一帶一路 | 0 条评论

 

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• 全球最自由的經濟體

• 全球服務業主導程度最高的經濟體，服務業佔GDP 90%以上

• 全球第二大直接外來投資目的地，僅次於中國內地

• 全球第二大直接外來投資來源地，僅次於美國

• The world’s freest economy.

• The world’s most services-oriented economy, with services sectors accounting for more than 90% of GDP.

• The world’s second largest recipient of foreign direct investment (FDI), after Chinese mainland.

• The world’s second largest source of FDI, after the US.

最新發展

香港經濟在2015年首季實質增長2.4%後，在2015第二季增速至按年增長2.8%。內部需求展現強韌，而對外環節則表現疲弱。私人消費開支由2015年首季增長5.3%提升至第二季按年增長6.0%；投資開支在2015年首季上升7.5%後，第二季再按年增長6.5%；外圍方面，整體貨物出口在2015年首季微升0.4%後，於第二季下跌3.6%，而服務出口則按年增長1.0%。2015年，香港的外部需求將受制於依然不穩的全球貿易環境，以及大部分市場的緩慢復蘇，然而本地需求應該會繼續增長。在8月最新一輪的預測中，政府將2015年全年經濟增長預測由五月的1至3%，修訂為2至3%。

Hong Kong’s economy expanded by 2.8% year-on-year in real terms in the second quarter of 2015, up from 2.4% in the preceding quarter of 2015, which was mainly attributed to the resilient domestic demand, while the external sector remained weak. Growth in private consumption expenditure grew strongly by 6.0% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2015, from 5.3% in the first quarter of 2015. Investment expenditure gained 6.5% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2015, further to the 7.5% growth in the first quarter of 2015. On the external front, total exports of goods saw year-on-year decline of 3.6%, down from an a meagre 0.4% gain in the first quarter of 2015, whereas exports of services fared better, posting year-on-year growth of 1.0% in the second quarter. For 2015, Hong Kong’s external demand is expected to be constrained by the unsteady global trade environment and slow recovery of most economies, but domestic demand will remain a stable growth driver. In the latest round of review in August, the government revised its forecast of Hong Kong’s economic growth from 1-3% to 2-3% for 2015 as a whole.

受訪港旅客人次增幅及旅客消費放緩影響，零售業銷貨額繼2014年輕微下跌0.2%後，於2015年1-6月按年下跌1.6%。然而勞工市場仍偏緊，截至2015年7月為止的3個月，經季節性調整失業率為3.3%，接近17年最低水平。同時，消費物價於2014年上升4.4%後，於2015年1-7月按年上升3.5%。通脹的上行風險在短期內應該有限，因為環球食品及商品價格的和緩趨勢，應會繼續令外圍的價格壓力受控，而本地成本壓力大致維持溫和。

Dragged by the visibly slower growth in tourist arrivals and weaker tourist spending, the value of retail sales, in nominal terms, dropped 1.6% year-on-year in January-June 2015, after a small decline of 0.2% in 2014. Yet the labour market conditions remain tight. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate stood at 3.3% for May-July 2015, close to the lowest level in 17 years. Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s consumer prices rose 3.5% year-on-year in January-July 2015, after rising by 4.4% in 2014. Looking ahead, inflationary pressure should be contained in the near term, as the softening trend in global food and commodity prices should keep external price pressures in check, while local cost pressures will likely stay moderate.

2014年訪港旅客共6,080萬人次，為本地人口的8.4倍，來自中國內地的旅客佔總數的78%。訪港旅客繼2014年上升12%後，於2015年1-6月按年上升2.8%。來自中國內地的旅客增長則較強勁，繼2014年上升16%後，於2015年1-6月按年上升4.7%。2014年，與入境旅遊相關的總消費金額為3,590億港元，較前一年增長8.5%。

In 2014, a total of 60.8 million visitors, equivalent to 8.4 times of the size of Hong Kong’s local population, were recorded, with those from the Chinese mainland accounting for 78% of the total. In January-June 2015, visitor arrivals to Hong Kong increased 2.8% year-on-year, after rising by 12% in 2014, while those from the Chinese mainland saw a stronger year-on-year growth of 4.7%, after rising by 16% in 2014. In 2014, total tourism expenditure associated to inbound tourism amounted to HK$359 billion, an increase of 8.5% from the previous year.

香港經濟的四大支柱產業是：貿易及物流業（2013年該業增加值佔GDP的23.9%）、旅遊業（5%）、金融業（16.5%）、專業服務及其他生產性服務（12.4%）。另一方面，香港具有明顯優勢可進一步發展的六項產業是文化及創意產業、醫療產業、教育產業、創新及科技產業、檢測及認證產業，以及環保產業。2013年，這六項產業的增加值佔GDP的9.1%。

The four pillar economic sectors of Hong Kong are: trading and logistics (23.9% of GDP in terms of value-added in 2013), tourism (5%), financial services (16.5%), and professional services and other producer services (12.4%). On the other hand, the six industries which Hong Kong has clear advantages for further development are cultural and creative, medical services, education services, innovation and technology, testing and certification services and environmental industries, which together accounted for 9.1% of GDP in terms of value-added in 2013.

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